Phnom Penh: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected on Wednesday that Cambodia’s economic growth will moderate to 3.0 percent in 2026, citing higher energy prices, trade policy uncertainties, and weakened tourism as key headwinds.
Key IMF Findings:
- Growth Outlook: Following a growth rate of 5.3% in 2025, the economy is expected to slow further in 2026 before a projected recovery in 2027.
- Reputational Risks: The IMF highlighted that scam-related activities are damaging Cambodia’s reputation, weighing on tourism and posing risks to financial stability.
- Structural Reforms Needed: Mr. Kenichiro Kashiwase, IMF Mission Chief, emphasized that strengthening Cambodia’s growth model requires improvements in governance, rule of law, energy security, and export diversification as the country prepares to graduate from Least Developed Country (LDC) status.
- Financial Sector Caution: The IMF warned of asset-quality pressures and advised close monitoring of bank exposures to the real estate sector.
ទស្សនវិស័យសេដ្ឋកិច្ចកម្ពុជា ២០២៦ (IMF)
កំណើន GDP ប៉ាន់ស្មាន ៣.០% ក្នុងឆ្នាំ ២០២៦
|
៨ កក្កដា ២០២៦
IMF Article IV Consultation 2026
GDP ២០២៤
6.0%
កំណើនជាក់ស្តែង
GDP ២០២៥
5.3%
ធ្លាក់ចុះពី ៦.០%
GDP ២០២៦ (ប៉ាន់ស្មាន)
3.0%
ថយចុះដោយសារហានិភ័យ
GDP ២០២៧ (ព្យាករ)
+ការងើបឡើងវិញ
ការងើបឡើងវិញរំពឹងទុក
និន្នាការកំណើន GDP
% ប្រៀបធៀបឆ្នាំមុន
GDP Growth
Projected
ហានិភ័យចម្បង
IMF កំណត់
អនុសាសន៍គោលនយោបាយរបស់ IMF
“Structural reforms should strengthen Cambodia’s growth by improving the business climate, governance and rule of law, labour absorption, export diversification, energy security and efficiency, climate resilience, and data quality.”
Mr. Kenichiro Kashiwase
IMF Mission Chief for Cambodia
July 8, 2026 · Phnom Penh
